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Red37
421616.0
432712.9
81265.9
Blue72
584316.3
515221.2
600214.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37532060801003772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.6
15.514.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End9.5
blue by 5.2
21.21.6
19.621.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End11.6
Second
12.90.6
14.113.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 3.4
5843
#14DQ
16.32.0
15.717.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End11.2
Third
8126
#28
5.90.6
7.16.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.4
blue by 8.8
6002
#17
14.72.2
12.414.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned