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Red50
59827.4
496720.1
10767.9
Blue47
485512.6
546215.6
555913.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30460204060805047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.5
18.219.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End9.4
red by 4.5
5462
#10
15.60.5
15.516.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Second
1076
#31
7.91.5
6.07.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End3.5
blue by 5.1
5559
#16
13.00.4
13.313.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
5982
#26
7.41.5
5.97.4
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End4.0
blue by 5.2
4855
#18
12.60.4
12.512.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed