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Red50
550112.2
600214.7
432712.9
Blue23
81265.9
78116.5
584316.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310204060805023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#17
14.70.3
14.514.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End5.4
blue by 1.6
5843
#14
16.30.6
17.617.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End11.2
Second
12.90.2
13.513.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End3.6
red by 6.4
7811
#25
6.50.6
7.16.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Third
12.20.2
13.212.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5
red by 6.4
8126
#28
5.90.6
6.55.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed