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Red65
438129.3
765814.8
546215.6
Blue36
421616.0
477610.6
555913.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35361020304050606536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.33.5
14.017.6
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.6
red by 13.3
16.00.2
12.112.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End9.5
Second
5462
#10
15.63.5
9.913.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 2.6
5559
#16
13.00.2
8.89.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
14.83.5
9.212.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End8.5
red by 4.2
4776
#30
10.60.2
13.113.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed