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Red100
261129.7
520529.3
526017.9
Blue58
556724.2
750120.2
31314.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77594010012010058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.6
27.528.0
Auto8.5
Teleop10.5
End10.7
red by 5.5
5567
#17
24.20.0
23.923.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.1
Second
29.30.6
27.127.6
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End6.9
red by 9.1
7501
#12
20.20.0
19.919.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End4.6
Third
5260
#29
17.90.6
15.716.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
red by 3.9
313
#19
14.00.0
13.713.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End3.6