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Red102
353632.5
716625.7
659118.6
Blue77
423722.3
365625.1
567622.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817120406010012010277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#10
32.50.6
31.932.5
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
red by 7.5
3656
#11
25.10.2
24.324.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End7.3
Second
25.70.6
25.025.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End10.4
red by 2.7
5676
#28
22.90.2
22.222.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End10.0
Third
6591
#18
18.60.6
17.918.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End4.2
blue by 3.7
4237
#13
22.30.2
21.521.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9