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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823060804421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.7
10.411.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End10.4
red by 7.8
5260
#29
17.90.2
12.312.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
Second
3658
#21
14.20.7
12.012.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End4.3
red by 1.8
6561
#15
12.40.1
6.26.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Third
7202
#31
12.90.7
11.712.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End8.6
red by 8.6
8374
#40
4.30.2
4.84.6
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned9%Hangar oddsMissed