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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436220801001205658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#17
24.20.9
23.124.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.1
red by 2.0
4237
#13
22.30.2
23.023.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
7202
#31
12.90.9
10.811.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End8.6
blue by 7.3
7501
#12
20.20.2
19.920.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End4.6
Third
5523
#27
8.70.9
8.79.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 5.4
3658
#21
14.20.2
12.612.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsMissed