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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416220801001205475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7656
#16
18.80.9
14.415.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End7.7
blue by 13.8
3536
#10
32.51.0
31.532.5
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
Second
5231
#14
15.50.9
13.714.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End3.8
blue by 10.2
25.71.0
18.919.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End10.4
Third
3658
#21
14.20.9
12.713.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End4.3
red by 9.0
8300
#37
5.21.0
5.06.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned