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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467920601001201405352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.4
31.932.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End14.6
red by 3.8
3536
#10
32.51.2
32.531.3
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
Second
6561
#15
12.40.4
9.39.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 17.3
29.71.2
23.522.3
Auto8.5
Teleop10.5
End10.7
Third
8300
#37
5.20.4
6.06.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 6.5
66
#23
11.61.2
14.313.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsMissed