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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613720801001206954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#6
34.10.5
32.032.4
Auto9.4
Teleop16.4
End8.3
red by 15.5
6591
#18
18.61.1
15.416.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Second
313
#19
14.00.5
13.213.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End3.6
red by 1.1
7202
#31
12.91.1
11.612.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End8.6
Third
3773
#36
11.00.5
8.79.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.1
blue by 0.7
7221
#25
11.71.1
10.912.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsEarned