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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656550607080908471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.5
22.323.8
Auto8.5
Teleop10.5
End10.7
red by 0.4
29.30.7
26.026.7
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End6.9
Second
28.71.5
26.027.5
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.4
red by 1.4
27.30.7
27.728.4
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.7
Third
8608
#30
11.41.5
13.014.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 2.8
8314
#26
8.60.7
7.38.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsEarned