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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314302060801002623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7656
#16
18.80.6
16.415.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End7.7
red by 0.9
5260
#29
17.91.1
16.815.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
Second
8314
#26
8.60.6
8.07.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 6.8
5231
#14
15.51.1
15.614.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End3.8
Third
8297
#39
5.80.6
6.25.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End-0.3
red by 1.3
4568
#32
4.51.1
6.45.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed