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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656350607080906463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.2
26.726.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End6.9
red by 0.6
28.70.2
26.827.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.4
Second
29.20.2
28.728.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End12.4
red by 10.6
6591
#18
18.60.2
17.217.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Third
4568
#32
4.50.2
5.45.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 13.4
5260
#29
17.90.2
15.716.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned