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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10344020608012014016010350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.9
35.035.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End14.6
red by 10.7
25.70.1
22.122.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End10.4
Second
29.30.9
26.927.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End6.9
red by 10.5
7656
#16
18.80.1
17.417.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End7.7
Third
28.70.9
27.027.9
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.4
red by 19.9
5523
#27
8.70.1
9.59.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned