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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496202040801001204352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#28
22.90.3
22.522.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End10.0
blue by 4.4
27.30.3
26.926.5
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.7
Second
7221
#25
11.70.3
12.812.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End4.1
blue by 6.2
5260
#29
17.90.3
16.015.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
Third
66
#23
11.60.3
12.612.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 0.2
8608
#30
11.40.3
14.113.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsMissed