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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88460204060801001201408349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.4
35.936.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End14.6
red by 3.8
3536
#10
32.50.0
31.831.9
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
Second
107
#6
34.10.4
33.033.4
Auto9.4
Teleop16.4
End8.3
red by 21.5
7209
#24
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End5.0
Third
8314
#26
8.60.4
8.28.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
red by 4.4
8374
#40
4.30.0
4.34.3
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsMissed