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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296202040801004769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7656
#16
18.80.8
17.518.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End7.7
blue by 8.5
27.31.0
26.527.5
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.7
Second
6561
#15
12.40.8
11.111.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 4.2
7197
#20
16.61.0
15.916.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Third
6556
#38
3.70.8
3.03.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.9
blue by 9.2
7202
#31
12.91.0
11.912.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned