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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283801020506070805936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#22
19.02.1
13.315.4
Auto6.0
Teleop9.0
End4.0
red by 1.1
5260
#29
17.90.1
12.212.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
Second
5231
#14
15.52.1
8.710.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End3.8
red by 2.8
7209
#24
12.60.1
8.88.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End5.0
Third
5523
#27
8.72.1
5.57.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 2.7
5530
#33
11.40.1
13.713.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned