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Red106
261129.7
520529.3
526017.9
Blue79
353632.5
716625.7
659118.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768320406010012014016010679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.7
28.328.9
Auto8.5
Teleop10.5
End10.7
blue by 2.8
3536
#10
32.50.0
32.732.7
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
Second
29.30.7
27.928.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End6.9
red by 3.6
25.70.0
25.825.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End10.4
Third
5260
#29
17.90.7
16.517.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
blue by 0.7
6591
#18
18.60.0
18.818.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End4.2