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Red44
749116.8
366718.2
77908.4
Blue56
560315.6
353713.3
52829.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48382060804456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.1
18.218.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End5.3
red by 2.5
5603
#12
15.60.4
15.115.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Second
16.80.1
16.916.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 3.6
3537
#10
13.30.4
12.813.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End4.3
Third
7790
#19
8.40.1
8.58.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End4.4
blue by 1.3
5282
#18
9.70.4
9.29.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4