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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4028010205060701921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.61.9
10.18.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End8.3
red by 4.3
3537
#10
13.31.2
11.710.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End4.3
Second
5053
#25
15.61.9
14.412.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End2.7
red by 7.2
6102
#17
8.41.2
7.86.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Third
6071
#26
7.71.9
11.59.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End1.9
red by 1.0
5533
#32
6.71.2
8.37.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed