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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332401020405060703137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#13
13.70.2
14.915.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End2.5
blue by 2.0
5603
#12
15.61.0
12.913.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Second
4983
#21
11.90.2
8.68.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.0
red by 5.0
5697
#24
6.90.6
5.25.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End2.8
Third
5150
#30
8.20.2
6.16.2
Auto4.9
Teleop0.7
End2.7
red by 1.6
5619
#11
6.70.6
5.96.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed