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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442201030405060703720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#6
18.60.2
14.514.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End9.5
red by 10.2
6102
#17
8.40.8
7.87.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Second
16.80.2
16.316.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 9.1
6071
#26
7.70.8
9.48.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Third
6073
#31
5.00.2
7.77.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End2.5
blue by 1.7
5619
#11
6.70.5
6.15.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned6%Hangar oddsMissed