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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30520204060805146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#6
18.61.3
17.418.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End9.5
blue by 5.6
24.10.0
25.025.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End6.9
Second
1504
#29
7.71.4
7.69.0
Auto5.3
Teleop0.3
End2.1
blue by 7.9
5603
#12
15.60.0
15.215.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
5619
#11
6.71.1
6.17.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
6073
#31
5.00.0
5.75.7
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed