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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4237102030506070803424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#20
18.30.7
19.018.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 0.7
17.61.1
18.417.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End8.3
Second
5517
#14
11.20.7
12.411.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End4.9
red by 3.0
5150
#30
8.21.1
7.86.7
Auto4.9
Teleop0.7
End2.7
Third
5525
#27
6.90.7
7.66.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.3
End3.5
blue by 0.8
1504
#29
7.71.2
9.07.7
Auto5.3
Teleop0.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsMissed