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Red39
31417.4
560315.6
52357.0
Blue64
749116.8
52829.7
366718.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443304050603964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#5
17.40.1
17.517.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
blue by 0.8
18.21.1
17.118.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End5.3
Second
5603
#12
15.60.1
15.215.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 1.2
16.81.1
15.816.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
5235
#23
7.00.1
7.97.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.2
End3.7
blue by 2.7
5282
#18
9.71.1
8.19.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned