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Red73
354631.5
90410.1
85816.6
Blue83
687715.3
719516.1
28830.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53500204060801001207383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.3
25.026.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End14.6
red by 1.0
288
#3
30.52.4
21.724.1
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
Second
858
#24
16.61.3
14.515.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End4.1
red by 0.5
7195
#19
16.12.4
14.617.0
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End4.0
Third
904
#27
10.11.3
9.711.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End3.8
blue by 5.1
6877
#22
15.32.4
10.713.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsEarned