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Red86
90410.1
335746.4
170133.6
Blue57
205427.4
828517.7
79119.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024202060801201401608657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.1
44.144.0
Auto13.1
Teleop21.5
End11.7
red by 18.9
27.40.6
28.429.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End7.9
Second
33.60.1
32.031.9
Auto7.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 16.0
8285
#17
17.70.6
13.814.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Third
904
#27
10.10.1
11.811.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End3.8
red by 0.4
7911
#23
9.80.6
5.35.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsEarned