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Red34
719516.1
710911.4
828517.7
Blue19
83974.1
52553.2
438137.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48330204060801003419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8285
#17
17.70.6
14.413.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End3.0
blue by 20.2
37.90.9
29.328.4
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End6.8
Second
7195
#19
16.10.6
16.315.8
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End4.0
red by 12.0
8397
#33
4.10.9
1.80.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End1.1
Third
7109
#18
11.40.6
11.911.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End4.7
red by 8.2
5255
#25
3.20.9
1.30.4
Auto0.4
Teleop1.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed4%Hangar oddsMissed