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Red41
22469.8
205427.4
496724.6
Blue30
710911.4
85816.6
724812.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66412060801004130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.2
29.228.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End7.9
red by 10.8
858
#24
16.61.0
16.315.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End4.1
Second
4967
#14
24.61.2
21.920.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End8.0
red by 12.5
7248
#21
12.11.0
12.811.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.7
Third
2246
#30
9.82.0
7.75.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
blue by 1.6
7109
#18
11.41.0
12.611.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsMissed