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Red40
170133.6
52553.2
72105.8
Blue6
86114.1
79119.8
61139.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4527020406080406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.0
33.333.3
Auto7.8
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 23.9
7911
#23
9.81.5
9.98.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Second
7210
#29
5.80.0
5.85.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.5
blue by 3.4
6113
#28
9.12.4
11.59.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.2
End3.0
Third
5255
#25
3.20.0
0.50.5
Auto0.4
Teleop1.2
End1.7
blue by 0.8
8611
#32
4.12.4
6.44.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed