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Red84
79119.8
438137.9
496724.6
Blue67
828517.7
400419.0
354631.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6969506080908467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.3
33.634.9
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End6.8
red by 6.4
31.50.1
29.429.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End14.6
Second
4967
#14
24.61.3
21.923.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End8.0
red by 5.6
4004
#16
19.00.1
17.517.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End4.9
Third
7911
#23
9.81.3
8.910.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 7.9
8285
#17
17.70.1
17.918.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned