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Red46
438137.9
61139.1
277123.7
Blue37
485526.7
79119.8
72105.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681904060801001201401604637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.8
30.429.7
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End6.8
red by 11.2
4855
#11
26.70.9
15.716.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.9
End10.8
Second
23.70.8
13.813.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End5.7
red by 13.9
7911
#23
9.80.9
4.45.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Third
6113
#28
9.11.3
13.111.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.2
End3.0
red by 3.4
7210
#29
5.80.9
3.74.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed