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Red63
516619.1
511426.0
13229.4
Blue44
556115.1
499419.4
71929.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5943102030507080906344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.2
25.725.9
Auto11.4
Teleop6.8
End7.7
red by 6.5
19.40.0
18.818.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End11.5
Second
19.10.2
18.719.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.2
End6.1
red by 4.0
5561
#11
15.10.0
14.514.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End7.7
Third
1322
#24
9.40.2
9.19.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End5.1
blue by 0.5
7192
#18
9.90.0
9.29.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End4.6