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Red52
516619.1
511426.0
13229.4
Blue53
556115.1
499419.4
71929.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604320805253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.0
25.925.8
Auto11.4
Teleop6.8
End7.7
red by 6.5
19.40.2
18.919.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End11.5
Second
19.10.1
19.018.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.2
End6.1
red by 4.0
5561
#11
15.10.2
14.514.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End7.7
Third
1322
#24
9.40.0
9.39.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End5.1
blue by 0.5
7192
#18
9.90.3
9.39.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End4.6