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Red21
150626.1
49983.1
83856.5
Blue62
499419.4
526012.3
516619.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283901020506070802162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.8
12.711.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.7
End3.5
red by 6.7
19.43.0
11.514.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End11.5
Second
8385
#26
6.50.8
5.44.6
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End3.8
blue by 12.6
19.13.0
12.515.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.2
End6.1
Third
4998
#32
3.10.8
9.89.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End-0.9
blue by 9.2
5260
#15
12.33.0
11.414.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned