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Red8
13229.4
71929.9
52476.5
Blue46
150626.1
56973.6
87746.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2634010203040506070846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7192
#18
9.91.9
7.35.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End4.6
blue by 16.2
26.11.7
14.916.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.7
End3.5
Second
1322
#24
9.41.9
9.07.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End5.1
red by 3.1
8774
#20
6.31.7
7.69.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Third
5247
#19
6.51.9
8.97.0
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End4.2
red by 2.9
5697
#35DQ
3.61.7
8.510.2
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed