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Red19
77844.8
52476.5
523411.7
Blue26
83856.5
720211.7
87746.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2927010204050601926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#17
11.70.8
14.513.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End2.1
Level
7202
#10
11.70.3
11.411.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End8.7
Second
5247
#19
6.50.8
4.03.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End4.2
Level
8385
#26
6.50.3
5.35.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End3.8
Third
7784
#31
4.80.7
8.17.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End1.9
blue by 1.5
8774
#20
6.30.3
8.58.1
Auto3.8
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed