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Red41
606710.3
56419.3
526012.3
Blue13
56973.6
49983.1
77844.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432701020506070804113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#15
12.30.6
18.417.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End5.1
red by 7.5
7784
#31
4.81.6
10.89.2
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End1.9
Second
6067
#14
10.30.6
8.17.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End4.5
red by 6.7
5697
#35
3.61.6
10.28.6
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End0.9
Third
5641
#25
9.30.6
11.811.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 6.2
4998
#32
3.11.6
6.24.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed