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Red21
60919.2
49983.1
81939.9
Blue34
83856.5
523411.7
332223.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293401020405060702134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8193
#22
9.90.8
13.712.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.0
blue by 13.4
23.30.3
16.817.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Second
6091
#28
9.20.8
9.58.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End3.4
blue by 2.5
5234
#17
11.70.3
10.510.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End2.1
Third
4998
#32
3.10.8
4.63.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End-0.9
blue by 3.4
8385
#26
6.50.3
4.24.5
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed