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Red30
499419.4
523411.7
60919.2
Blue25
49983.1
81510.0
606710.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4027010205060703025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.6
16.115.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End11.5
red by 9.1
6067
#14
10.30.2
7.16.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End4.5
Second
5234
#17
11.70.6
10.810.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End2.1
red by 1.7
815
#29
10.00.2
16.015.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Third
6091
#28
9.20.6
8.78.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End3.4
red by 6.1
4998
#32
3.10.2
3.93.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed