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Red48
49433.6
720211.7
55387.9
Blue32
526012.3
81939.9
13229.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573102040801004832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
33.60.2
30.230.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.2
End11.0
red by 21.3
5260
#15
12.30.5
15.214.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End5.1
Second
7202
#10
11.70.2
11.911.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End8.7
red by 1.8
8193
#22
9.90.5
12.912.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.0
Third
5538
#27
7.90.2
8.17.9
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 1.6
1322
#24
9.40.5
4.43.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed