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Red60
83856.5
516619.1
546035.7
Blue78
2739.5
437715.6
606710.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596040507080906078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.5
30.831.3
Auto12.5
Teleop16.8
End6.4
blue by 3.8
27
#1
39.51.4
33.234.6
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End8.9
Second
19.10.5
19.620.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.2
End6.1
red by 3.4
4377
#13
15.61.3
15.316.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End6.5
Third
8385
#26
6.50.5
4.95.3
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End3.8
blue by 3.8
6067
#14
10.31.3
7.79.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned