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Red56
49433.6
56973.6
437715.6
Blue77
52476.5
511426.0
332223.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564420304050607080905677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
33.60.5
30.831.3
Auto8.5
Teleop14.2
End11.0
red by 7.6
26.02.9
22.925.8
Auto11.4
Teleop6.8
End7.7
Second
4377
#13
15.60.4
16.717.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End6.5
blue by 7.7
23.32.9
16.719.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
5697
#35
3.60.4
3.64.1
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End0.9
blue by 2.9
5247
#19
6.52.9
3.26.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsEarned