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Red32
526012.3
71929.9
556115.1
Blue51
56419.3
77844.8
49433.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413202060803251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#11
15.10.6
15.314.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End7.7
blue by 18.5
494
#2
33.62.2
12.214.4
Auto8.5
Teleop14.2
End11.0
Second
5260
#15
12.30.6
11.911.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End5.1
red by 3.0
5641
#25
9.32.2
10.212.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Third
7192
#18
9.90.6
9.89.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End4.6
red by 5.1
7784
#31
4.82.2
8.710.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed