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Red27
87746.3
354216.1
56419.3
Blue31
81939.9
437715.6
720211.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36450102030405060702731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3542
#16
16.10.7
15.414.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 0.5
4377
#13
15.60.8
17.116.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End6.5
Second
5641
#25
9.30.6
11.811.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 2.4
7202
#10
11.70.8
11.810.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End8.7
Third
8774
#20
6.30.7
7.56.8
Auto3.8
Teleop0.5
End2.1
blue by 3.6
8193
#22
9.90.8
12.311.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed