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Red28
87675.6
87746.3
71929.9
Blue19
56973.6
499419.4
55387.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213401030405060702819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7192
#18
9.90.2
9.09.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End4.6
blue by 9.5
19.40.8
19.718.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End11.5
Second
8774
#20
6.30.2
6.87.0
Auto3.8
Teleop0.5
End2.1
blue by 1.5
5538
#27
7.91.0
6.25.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Third
8767
#33
5.60.2
5.75.9
Auto1.2
Teleop0.9
End3.6
red by 2.1
5697
#35
3.60.8
4.43.6
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed