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Red33
77844.8
332223.3
354216.1
Blue10
71929.9
83856.5
56973.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442902060801003310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.2
14.613.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End5.7
red by 13.4
7192
#18
9.92.5
9.36.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End4.6
Second
3542
#16
16.11.2
14.213.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 9.6
8385
#26
6.52.5
7.95.4
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End3.8
Third
7784
#31
4.81.2
10.99.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End1.9
red by 1.3
5697
#35DQ
3.62.5
11.79.2
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed