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Red131
6753.7
50342.0
438127.8
Blue88
365623.9
496724.6
118929.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1427205010020013188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
53.70.1
54.054.1
Auto12.3
Teleop32.0
End9.3
red by 24.1
1189
#35
29.60.2
29.029.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.4
End4.6
Second
503
#1
42.00.1
42.342.4
Auto14.1
Teleop17.3
End10.6
red by 17.4
4967
#11
24.60.2
24.024.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.8
End8.8
Third
4381
#19
27.80.1
28.128.3
Auto10.4
Teleop13.7
End3.8
red by 3.9
3656
#15
23.90.2
23.323.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End8.3